Evaluating Investment Performance: Understanding and Calculating ROI

8 months ago
Evaluating Investment Performance: Understanding and Calculating ROI

Introduction


Whether you're engaged in day trading, swing trading, or pursuing long-term investments, assessing your performance is crucial. Without measuring your results, how can you gauge your success? Trading offers a unique advantage in that you can objectively measure performance using specific metrics, minimizing emotional and cognitive biases.

So, why is this significant? The human mind tends to construct narratives to make sense of the world, but numbers cannot be overlooked. If your returns are negative, it's time to adjust your strategy. Conversely, if you perceive success but the numbers tell a different story, biases may be clouding your judgment.

While we've explored risk management, position sizing, and setting stop-loss, how do you evaluate investment performance and compare multiple investments? This is where the Return on Investment (ROI) calculation proves invaluable. In this article, we'll delve into how to calculate ROI.

Understanding Return on Investment (ROI)


Return on Investment (ROI) serves as a metric for measuring an investment's performance and facilitates comparisons between different investments.

Various methods exist for calculating returns, which we'll explore later. For now, grasp that ROI gauges gains or losses relative to the initial investment, providing an approximation of investment profitability. A positive ROI signals profits, while a negative ROI indicates losses.

ROI isn't exclusive to trading; it applies to any business or purchase. If contemplating opening or acquiring a restaurant, a calculated ROI based on projected expenses and returns can inform your decision-making process, helping you discern the financial viability of the venture.

Moreover, ROI aids in evaluating past transactions. For instance, consider buying an old exotic car for $200,000, using it for two years with an additional $50,000 in expenses, and then selling it for $300,000. Calculating ROI in this scenario reveals the profitability of the investment.

How to Calculate Return on Investment (ROI)


The ROI formula is straightforward: subtract the original investment cost from the current value, then divide this sum by the original cost.

\[ ROI = \frac{(current value - original cost)}{original cost} \]

To illustrate, selling the exotic car for a current value of $300,000 with an original cost of $200,000 yields an ROI of 0.5. Multiplying this by 100 provides the Rate of Return (ROR), indicating a 50% gain.

Considering expenses, subtracting the additional $50,000 yields a net current value of $250,000. Recalculating ROI results in 0.25 (25%), translating to a net profit of $50,000.

Limitations of ROI


Despite its simplicity and universal measure of profitability, ROI has limitations. Notably, it neglects the time factor, which is critical for investments. Annualized ROI may address this by representing returns over a year.

However, ROI alone overlooks other investment aspects, such as liquidity, security, and risk. A higher ROI doesn't guarantee a superior investment, and additional metrics like risk/reward ratio, cash flows, and interest rates should be considered for a comprehensive assessment.

Closing Thoughts


Return on Investment (ROI) serves as a fundamental metric for tracking portfolio, investment, or business performance. While not the sole indicator, ROI provides valuable insights. To make informed investment decisions, consider opportunity cost, risk/reward ratio, and other factors alongside ROI. As a starting point, ROI remains a useful barometer in evaluating potential investments.

16th Jan. 2024 07:47 am